from a CPAC-SES Tracking polling report, completed December 17
"Early results indicate that NDP support is moving upward from its low of 12 percent. Likewise, Jack Layton's daily performance index score improved the most last night (+11) largely driven on positive numbers related to trust. CPAC-SES tracking has the Liberals at 38 percent nationally, followed by the Conservatives at 30 percent, the NDP at 15 percent, the BQ at 13 percent and the Green Party at 4 percent." - Nik Nanos, President, SES Research.
Polling December 15 to December 17, 2005 (Random Telephone Survey of 1200 Canadians, MoE ± 2.9 percent, 19 times out of 20). Percentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding. Our tracking polls allow for a daily barometer on the activities of the respective campaigns. Longitudinal tracking charts on all measures can be found at the SES website below.
All values in parenthesis are changes from our November 13th national survey.
Canada Decided Voters:
LIB - 38 percent (+4)
CP - 30 percent (+2)
NDP - 15 percent (-5)
BQ - 13 percent (-1)
GP - 4 (NC)
19 percent of Canadians were undecided (+5)
In Quebec:
BQ - 53 percent (-1)
LIB - 26 percent (+2)
CP - 10 percent (+1)
NDP - 8 percent (NC)
GP - 3 percent (-1)
22 percent of Canadians were undecided (+10)
Outside Quebec:
LIB - 41 percent (+4)
CP - 37 percent (+2)
NDP - 18 percent (-7)
GP - 5 percent (+1)
17 percent of Canadians were undecided (+2)
Best PM:
Martin - 29 percent (NC)
Unsure - 22 percent (+9)
Harper - 21 percent (-1)
None - 11 percent (NC)
Layton - 10 percent (-6)
Duceppe - 6 percent (-1)
Harris - 2 percent (-2)
Leadership Index [Daily composite of the Leaders' Trust, Competence and Vision]*:
Martin - 75 (-4)
Harper - 52 (-5)
Layton - 41 (+11)
Duceppe - 27 (-4)
Harris - 7 (NC)
* Change for this measure is from yesterday's composite score.
The SES website posts an updated daily longitudinal tracking chart, regional breakdowns and details on the questions and the methodology each afternoon. Watch PrimeTime Politics at 8 pm EST (Monday to Friday) to get a detailed briefing of the numbers.
Nikita James Nanos is CMRP President & CEO SES Research. CPAC sponsors this polling data and research (CPAC-SES Nightly Tracking).
Related addresses:
URL 1: www.sesresearch.com
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